[asterisk-biz] Google's voice product [OT]

[Peter Beckman]

On Tue, 17 Mar 2009, SIP wrote:

> The Pogue article is, as to be expected, gushingly lavish with Google
> praise.
>
> Which leads me to a question:  how is this envisioned in the world of
> consumer VoIP (is anyone even still IN that business) ?  The article
> mentions that the entire service, single number, VoIP calling,
> transcription services, etc. will be completely free and ad-free. Where,
> then, is the business plan?

  I'm sure there will be "Pro" features for a monthly fee, or they will make
  enough money on International Minutes.  They might eventually include
  advertising.

  There are many things Google offers that don't cost you cash, but they
  monetize it.  VoIP is making the telephony world a commodity, and it
  continues to get cheaper.

  Some of the things Google is doing will flow down to us, hopefully that
  includes SMS abilities on SIP-delivered originated DIDs.  Since Google has
  done it, they've set a precedent.

> With its constant marketing steamroller, and its massive brand
> recognition, I don't see, honestly, how 95% of the non-facilities-based
> consumer voice products out there will stand up to it.

  Google Voice fits a niche -- people who are willing to give up what has
  been their primary number for years and get a new number, and then give
  that out to everyone, and hope that in a year or two Google doesn't shut
  down this little venture that nobody paid for and nobody seems to be able
  to match.

  It's not home phone service.  It's not a business IVR.  It is for the
  individual to manage their calls.  They don't know it's VoIP, or if they
  do, they don't care or don't know what that means.  It works for them, and
  that's great.

  Remember -- there's a company down the street quietly doing $20M annual
  revenue for some obscure, I-never-thought-of-that business.  We small fry
  do NOT compete with Google, we can't.  We provide unique services and find
  the customers that like and need what we provide, and we do a nice
  business for ourselves and our employees (and maybe our investors).

> But how long will it be the way it is now -- free of charge for basic
> services and ad-free? Is this a first salvo to slaughter the competition
> as cleanly as possible before the shift in business models? I don't see
> how even Google could sustain a product of this complexity and sheer
> cost without SOME method of making that cost back, and if common models
> of free to pay business marketing have taught us anything, it's that you
> can't build a sustainable business model around a service which is
> primarily free except for a few bits and pieces that might cost if
> people bother to use them.

  They will monetize it.  Maybe it will be advertising, but maybe it's just
  to see how many people sign up and actually use it.  I've had my account
  for a few years now, but I don't use it.  I never was ready to give up
  control of my telephony to an unpaid service.

  But Google will find a way to monetize Google Voice, directly or
  indirectly, or will shutter it like Google Notebook in a few years.

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Peter Beckman                                                  Internet Guy
beckman at angryox.com                                 http://www.angryox.com/
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